La Liga

Analysis — La Liga

Short pieces built on the same computations as the tables. The figures in them are not copied out: they follow the model.

Title raceLa Liga

Who will win La Liga in 2026-27?

Barcelona win the title in 84% of simulated seasons with Europe's second-best attack. Real Madrid finish second in 62% of them — and the model explains why six points in September weigh so heavily in Spain.

September 20 · 7 min