Saturday 7 November · 15:30 · 9th matchday
Paderborn – Eintracht Frankfurt
Paderborn
15th · attack 0.72 · defence 1.13
Eintracht Frankfurt
11th · attack 1.24 · defence 1.36
Our model makes Eintracht Frankfurt favourites for Paderborn – Eintracht Frankfurt, at 40%. Kick-off 7 November 2026, 15:30.
Across the full score distribution, Paderborn win 33% of the time, the draw comes up 28% and Eintracht Frankfurt win 40%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 13.2% of simulations.
We expect 1.26 goals for Paderborn and 1.40 for Eintracht Frankfurt, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 50% of the time and both teams scoring 55%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 1.26 for Paderborn, 1.40 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Paderborn wins; above it, Eintracht Frankfurt wins.
| Paderborn \ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Paderborn goals in rows, Eintracht Frankfurt goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt?
Eintracht Frankfurt, at 40%. The full split is Paderborn 33%, draw 28%, Eintracht Frankfurt 40%.
What is the most likely score in Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt?
1–1, which comes up in 13.2% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 50% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 75% of the time. Expected goals are 1.26 for Paderborn and 1.40 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Will both teams score in Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt?
Both teams score in 55% of simulations. Paderborn keep a clean sheet or Eintracht Frankfurt fail to score in the remaining 45%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Sunday 18 October. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
