Saturday 21 November · 15:30 · 10th matchday
Eintracht Frankfurt – TSG Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
8th · attack 1.25 · defence 1.32
TSG Hoffenheim
12th · attack 1.25 · defence 1.34
Our model makes Eintracht Frankfurt favourites for Eintracht Frankfurt – TSG Hoffenheim, at 49%. Kick-off 21 November 2026, 15:30.
Across the full score distribution, Eintracht Frankfurt win 49% of the time, the draw comes up 22% and TSG Hoffenheim win 30%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 8.6% of simulations.
We expect 2.14 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.65 for TSG Hoffenheim, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 73% of the time and both teams scoring 72%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 2.14 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.65 for TSG Hoffenheim.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Eintracht Frankfurt wins; above it, TSG Hoffenheim wins.
| Eintracht Frankfurt \ TSG Hoffenheim | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt goals in rows, TSG Hoffenheim goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim?
Eintracht Frankfurt, at 49%. The full split is Eintracht Frankfurt 49%, draw 22%, TSG Hoffenheim 30%.
What is the most likely score in Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim?
1–1, which comes up in 8.6% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 73% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 90% of the time. Expected goals are 2.14 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.65 for TSG Hoffenheim.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt v TSG Hoffenheim?
Both teams score in 72% of simulations. Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet or TSG Hoffenheim fail to score in the remaining 28%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Monday 2 November. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
