Monday 2 November · 21:00 · 11th matchday
Deportivo A Coruña – Osasuna
Deportivo A Coruña
8th · attack 1.10 · defence 1.19
Osasuna
16th · attack 0.97 · defence 1.13
Our model makes Deportivo A Coruña favourites for Deportivo A Coruña – Osasuna, at 49%. Kick-off 2 November 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, Deportivo A Coruña win 49% of the time, the draw comes up 25% and Osasuna win 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 11.7% of simulations.
We expect 1.67 goals for Deportivo A Coruña and 1.16 for Osasuna, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 54% of the time and both teams scoring 56%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 1.67 for Deportivo A Coruña, 1.16 for Osasuna.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Deportivo A Coruña wins; above it, Osasuna wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Deportivo A Coruña goals in rows, Osasuna goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Deportivo A Coruña v Osasuna?
Deportivo A Coruña, at 49%. The full split is Deportivo A Coruña 49%, draw 25%, Osasuna 26%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo A Coruña v Osasuna?
1–1, which comes up in 11.7% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo A Coruña v Osasuna?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 54% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 78% of the time. Expected goals are 1.67 for Deportivo A Coruña and 1.16 for Osasuna.
Will both teams score in Deportivo A Coruña v Osasuna?
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Deportivo A Coruña keep a clean sheet or Osasuna fail to score in the remaining 44%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Tuesday 13 October. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
