Tuesday 3 November · 21:00
LASK – Slovan Bratislava
LASK
3rd · attack 1.35 · defence 0.97
Slovan Bratislava
th · attack 0.86 · defence 1.56
Our model makes LASK favourites for LASK – Slovan Bratislava, at 56%. Kick-off 3 November 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, LASK win 56% of the time, the draw comes up 22% and Slovan Bratislava win 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0, in 11.0% of simulations.
We expect 1.80 goals for LASK and 1.03 for Slovan Bratislava, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 54% of the time and both teams scoring 53%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
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Expected goals: 1.80 for LASK, 1.03 for Slovan Bratislava.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, LASK wins; above it, Slovan Bratislava wins.
| LASK \ Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
LASK goals in rows, Slovan Bratislava goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in LASK v Slovan Bratislava?
LASK, at 56%. The full split is LASK 56%, draw 22%, Slovan Bratislava 22%.
What is the most likely score in LASK v Slovan Bratislava?
1–0, which comes up in 11.0% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in LASK v Slovan Bratislava?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 54% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 77% of the time. Expected goals are 1.80 for LASK and 1.03 for Slovan Bratislava.
Will both teams score in LASK v Slovan Bratislava?
Both teams score in 53% of simulations. LASK keep a clean sheet or Slovan Bratislava fail to score in the remaining 47%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Monday 19 October. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
