Tuesday 3 November · 18:45
Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart
Galatasaray
1st · attack 1.63 · defence 0.92
VfB Stuttgart
13th · attack 1.36 · defence 1.11
Our model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites for Galatasaray – VfB Stuttgart, at 47%. Kick-off 3 November 2026, 18:45.
Across the full score distribution, Galatasaray win 32% of the time, the draw comes up 21% and VfB Stuttgart win 47%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–2, in 8.9% of simulations.
We expect 1.56 goals for Galatasaray and 1.94 for VfB Stuttgart, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 68% of the time and both teams scoring 67%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 1.56 for Galatasaray, 1.94 for VfB Stuttgart.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Galatasaray wins; above it, VfB Stuttgart wins.
| Galatasaray \ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Galatasaray goals in rows, VfB Stuttgart goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart, at 47%. The full split is Galatasaray 32%, draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart 47%.
What is the most likely score in Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart?
1–2, which comes up in 8.9% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 68% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 86% of the time. Expected goals are 1.56 for Galatasaray and 1.94 for VfB Stuttgart.
Will both teams score in Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart?
Both teams score in 67% of simulations. Galatasaray keep a clean sheet or VfB Stuttgart fail to score in the remaining 33%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Tuesday 20 October. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
