Tuesday 3 November · 21:00
Feyenoord – Inter
Feyenoord
1st · attack 1.65 · defence 0.93
Inter
1st · attack 1.97 · defence 0.89
Our model makes Inter favourites for Feyenoord – Inter, at 64%. Kick-off 3 November 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, Feyenoord win 18% of the time, the draw comes up 18% and Inter win 64%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–2, in 9.4% of simulations.
We expect 1.23 goals for Feyenoord and 2.41 for Inter, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 70% of the time and both teams scoring 64%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 1.23 for Feyenoord, 2.41 for Inter.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Feyenoord wins; above it, Inter wins.
| Feyenoord \ Inter | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Feyenoord goals in rows, Inter goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Feyenoord v Inter?
Inter, at 64%. The full split is Feyenoord 18%, draw 18%, Inter 64%.
What is the most likely score in Feyenoord v Inter?
1–2, which comes up in 9.4% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Feyenoord v Inter?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 70% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 88% of the time. Expected goals are 1.23 for Feyenoord and 2.41 for Inter.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord v Inter?
Both teams score in 64% of simulations. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet or Inter fail to score in the remaining 36%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Monday 19 October. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
