Tuesday 24 November · 18:45
Bodø / Glimt – LASK
Bodø / Glimt
2nd · attack 1.63 · defence 0.77
LASK
3rd · attack 1.36 · defence 1.01
Our model makes Bodø / Glimt favourites for Bodø / Glimt – LASK, at 67%. Kick-off 24 November 2026, 18:45.
Across the full score distribution, Bodø / Glimt win 67% of the time, the draw comes up 18% and LASK win 14%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–0, in 11.0% of simulations.
We expect 2.18 goals for Bodø / Glimt and 0.90 for LASK, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 59% of the time and both teams scoring 52%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
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Expected goals: 2.18 for Bodø / Glimt, 0.90 for LASK.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Bodø / Glimt wins; above it, LASK wins.
| Bodø / Glimt \ LASK | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Bodø / Glimt goals in rows, LASK goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Bodø / Glimt v LASK?
Bodø / Glimt, at 67%. The full split is Bodø / Glimt 67%, draw 18%, LASK 14%.
What is the most likely score in Bodø / Glimt v LASK?
2–0, which comes up in 11.0% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bodø / Glimt v LASK?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 59% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 81% of the time. Expected goals are 2.18 for Bodø / Glimt and 0.90 for LASK.
Will both teams score in Bodø / Glimt v LASK?
Both teams score in 52% of simulations. Bodø / Glimt keep a clean sheet or LASK fail to score in the remaining 48%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Tuesday 10 November. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
