La LigaFriday, October 16 · 09:00 PM · 9th matchday
Deportivo A Coruña – Levante
Deportivo A Coruña
7th · attack 1.03 · defence 1.07
Levante
17th · attack 1.09 · defence 1.23
Our model makes Deportivo A Coruña favourites for Deportivo A Coruña – Levante, at 50%. Kick-off October 16, 2026, 09:00 PM.
Across the full score distribution, Deportivo A Coruña win 50% of the time, the draw comes up 24% and Levante win 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 11.4% of simulations.
We expect 1.71 goals for Deportivo A Coruña and 1.17 for Levante, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 55% of the time and both teams scoring 57%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated nightly, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
Expected goals: 1.71 for Deportivo A Coruña, 1.17 for Levante.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Deportivo A Coruña wins; above it, Levante wins.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Deportivo A Coruña goals in rows, Levante goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Deportivo A Coruña v Levante?
Deportivo A Coruña, at 50%. The full split is Deportivo A Coruña 50%, draw 24%, Levante 26%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo A Coruña v Levante?
1–1, which comes up in 11.4% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo A Coruña v Levante?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 55% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 78% of the time. Expected goals are 1.71 for Deportivo A Coruña and 1.17 for Levante.
Will both teams score in Deportivo A Coruña v Levante?
Both teams score in 57% of simulations. Deportivo A Coruña keep a clean sheet or Levante fail to score in the remaining 43%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated nightly and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix, computed on Sunday, September 27. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.