Thursday 26 November · 21:00
OFI – Anderlecht
OFI
th · attack 1.05 · defence 0.96
Anderlecht
5th · attack 1.17 · defence 0.99
Our model makes OFI favourites for OFI – Anderlecht, at 49%. Kick-off 26 November 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, OFI win 49% of the time, the draw comes up 24% and Anderlecht win 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1, in 11.4% of simulations.
We expect 1.60 goals for OFI and 1.10 for Anderlecht, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 51% of the time and both teams scoring 53%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
All the odds and every market in the web app →
Expected goals: 1.60 for OFI, 1.10 for Anderlecht.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, OFI wins; above it, Anderlecht wins.
| OFI \ Anderlecht | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
OFI goals in rows, Anderlecht goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in OFI v Anderlecht?
OFI, at 49%. The full split is OFI 49%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 26%.
What is the most likely score in OFI v Anderlecht?
1–1, which comes up in 11.4% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in OFI v Anderlecht?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 51% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 75% of the time. Expected goals are 1.60 for OFI and 1.10 for Anderlecht.
Will both teams score in OFI v Anderlecht?
Both teams score in 53% of simulations. OFI keep a clean sheet or Anderlecht fail to score in the remaining 47%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
