Thursday 5 November · 21:00
Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
th · attack 0.79 · defence 1.33
OFI
th · attack 1.05 · defence 0.96
Our model makes OFI favourites for Hapoel Be'er Sheva – OFI, at 47%. Kick-off 5 November 2026, 21:00.
Across the full score distribution, Hapoel Be'er Sheva win 26% of the time, the draw comes up 26% and OFI win 47%. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1, in 13.6% of simulations.
We expect 0.96 goals for Hapoel Be'er Sheva and 1.39 for OFI, which puts the game above 2.5 goals 42% of the time and both teams scoring 46%.
Every figure on this page is read off the same score matrix, so they cannot contradict one another. They come from a Dixon-Coles model recalculated after every matchday, and they take no account of announced line-ups.
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Expected goals: 0.96 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, 1.39 for OFI.
Other markets
Most likely scorelines
All scorelines
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins; above it, OFI wins.
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva \ OFI | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva goals in rows, OFI goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
Frequently asked questions
Who are the favourites in Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI?
OFI, at 47%. The full split is Hapoel Be'er Sheva 26%, draw 26%, OFI 47%.
What is the most likely score in Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI?
0–1, which comes up in 13.6% of simulations. No single scoreline is ever very likely: the distribution is spread across many results, which is why the full matrix matters more than the top line.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI?
The model puts the game above 2.5 goals 42% of the time, and above 1.5 goals 68% of the time. Expected goals are 0.96 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva and 1.39 for OFI.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI?
Both teams score in 46% of simulations. Hapoel Be'er Sheva keep a clean sheet or OFI fail to score in the remaining 54%.
How are these probabilities calculated?
A Dixon-Coles model estimates an attacking and a defensive strength for every club from past results, with time decay so recent matches weigh more. Those strengths give the expected goals for each side, from which the full score matrix and every market on this page are derived. It is recalculated after every matchday and does not read line-ups, injuries or transfers.
All these figures come from a single scoreline matrix. They therefore cannot contradict one another: “over 2.5 goals” and “exact score” are two readings of the same object.
