Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Omonia Nicosia wins; above it, Benfica wins.
| Omonia Nicosia \ Benfica | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Omonia Nicosia goals in rows, Benfica goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | — | 0.88 | 1.06 | 0.83 |
| Benfica | 2 | 1.95 | 0.66 | 1.85 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
