Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Celje wins; above it, Salzburg wins.
| Celje \ Salzburg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Celje goals in rows, Salzburg goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | — | 0.82 | 1.90 | 1.15 |
| Salzburg | 2 | 1.36 | 0.90 | 1.73 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
