

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Viktoria Plzeň wins; above it, Levski Sofia wins.
| Viktoria Plzeň \ Levski Sofia | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Viktoria Plzeň goals in rows, Levski Sofia goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzeň | — | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.78 |
| Levski Sofia | — | 0.77 | 1.31 | 0.92 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.