Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Real Sociedad wins; above it, Olympique Lyonnais wins.
| Real Sociedad \ Olympique Lyonnais | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Real Sociedad goals in rows, Olympique Lyonnais goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 5 | 1.20 | 1.12 | 1.75 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 1.34 | 1.04 | 1.59 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
