Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Lillestrøm wins; above it, Viktoria Plzeň wins.
| Lillestrøm \ Viktoria Plzeň | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Lillestrøm goals in rows, Viktoria Plzeň goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm | 6 | 0.97 | 1.09 | 1.26 |
| Viktoria Plzeň | — | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.48 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
