

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Crystal Palace wins; above it, TSG Hoffenheim wins.
| Crystal Palace \ TSG Hoffenheim | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Crystal Palace goals in rows, TSG Hoffenheim goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 14 | 0.97 | 1.35 | 1.87 |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 13 | 1.24 | 1.38 | 1.34 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.