Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, AC Milan wins; above it, Ferencvárosi wins.
| AC Milan \ Ferencvárosi | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| 6 | 1 |
AC Milan goals in rows, Ferencvárosi goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 4 | 1.31 | 0.92 | 1.96 |
| Ferencvárosi | — | 1.07 | 1.04 | 0.78 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
