Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, NEC Nijmegen wins; above it, Omonia Nicosia wins.
| NEC Nijmegen \ Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
NEC Nijmegen goals in rows, Omonia Nicosia goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 1.28 | 1.22 | 1.42 |
| Omonia Nicosia | — | 0.88 | 1.06 | 1.25 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
