Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins; above it, OFI wins.
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva \ OFI | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Hapoel Be'er Sheva goals in rows, OFI goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | — | 0.79 | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| OFI | — | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.39 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
