

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins; above it, Olympique Marseille wins.
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen \ Olympique Marseille | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals in rows, Olympique Marseille goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 1.51 | 1.00 | 2.21 |
| Olympique Marseille | 10 | 1.40 | 1.03 | 1.24 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.