Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Celta de Vigo wins; above it, Union Saint-Gilloise wins.
| Celta de Vigo \ Union Saint-Gilloise | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Celta de Vigo goals in rows, Union Saint-Gilloise goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo | 8 | 1.10 | 0.99 | 1.30 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 1.49 | 0.62 | 1.37 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
