Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Sunderland wins; above it, Dinamo Zagreb wins.
| Sunderland \ Dinamo Zagreb | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Sunderland goals in rows, Dinamo Zagreb goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 20 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | — | 1.17 | 0.98 | 0.88 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
