Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, AZ Alkmaar wins; above it, Juventus wins.
| AZ Alkmaar \ Juventus | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar goals in rows, Juventus goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1.28 | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Juventus | 9 | 1.25 | 0.87 | 1.68 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
