Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Dinamo Zagreb wins; above it, Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins.
| Dinamo Zagreb \ Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Dinamo Zagreb goals in rows, Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | — | 1.17 | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 1.48 | 1.05 | 1.84 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
