Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Dinamo Zagreb wins; above it, NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Dinamo Zagreb \ NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb goals in rows, NEC Nijmegen goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | — | 1.17 | 0.98 | 2.10 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 1.31 | 1.21 | 1.05 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
