Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, PSV wins; above it, Club Brugge wins.
| PSV \ Club Brugge | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 6 |
PSV goals in rows, Club Brugge goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV | 3 | 2.05 | 1.00 | 2.09 |
| Club Brugge | 2 | 1.80 | 0.81 | 2.08 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
