

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Viking wins; above it, Sabah wins.
| Viking \ Sabah | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Viking goals in rows, Sabah goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 2 | 1.66 | 0.87 | 2.59 |
| Sabah | — | 1.07 | 1.45 | 1.19 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.