

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Bodø / Glimt wins; above it, LOSC Lille wins.
| Bodø / Glimt \ LOSC Lille | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Bodø / Glimt goals in rows, LOSC Lille goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø / Glimt | 1 | 1.72 | 0.79 | 1.40 |
| LOSC Lille | 4 | 1.16 | 0.85 | 1.31 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.