Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Shakhtar Donetsk wins; above it, Sporting CP wins.
| Shakhtar Donetsk \ Sporting CP | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Shakhtar Donetsk goals in rows, Sporting CP goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | — | 1.30 | 1.05 | 1.29 |
| Sporting CP | 3 | 2.13 | 0.69 | 2.00 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
