Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Galatasaray wins; above it, VfB Stuttgart wins.
| Galatasaray \ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Galatasaray goals in rows, VfB Stuttgart goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1 | 1.63 | 0.92 | 1.56 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 13 | 1.36 | 1.11 | 1.94 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
