Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Borussia Dortmund wins; above it, Real Betis wins.
| Borussia Dortmund \ Real Betis | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Borussia Dortmund goals in rows, Real Betis goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1.45 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| Real Betis | 4 | 1.28 | 0.99 | 1.11 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
