Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Villarreal wins; above it, Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Villarreal \ Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
Villarreal goals in rows, Paris Saint Germain goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 14 | 1.44 | 1.01 | 1.66 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 1.78 | 0.82 | 1.90 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
