Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Slavia Praha wins; above it, Arsenal wins.
| Slavia Praha \ Arsenal | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | |||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Slavia Praha goals in rows, Arsenal goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | — | 1.23 | 1.07 | 0.66 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 1.33 | 0.66 | 2.00 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
