

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Club Brugge wins; above it, Liverpool wins.
| Club Brugge \ Liverpool | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Club Brugge goals in rows, Liverpool goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge | 2 | 1.78 | 0.84 | 1.40 |
| Liverpool | 4 | 1.30 | 0.99 | 1.85 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.