Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Fenerbahçe wins; above it, Liverpool wins.
| Fenerbahçe \ Liverpool | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Fenerbahçe goals in rows, Liverpool goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 3 | 1.81 | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| Liverpool | 5 | 1.27 | 1.05 | 1.91 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
