Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Manchester United wins; above it, Roma wins.
| Manchester United \ Roma | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Manchester United goals in rows, Roma goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 13 | 1.24 | 1.09 | 1.29 |
| Roma | 3 | 1.45 | 0.73 | 1.13 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
