Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, RB Leipzig wins; above it, Manchester City wins.
| RB Leipzig \ Manchester City | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
RB Leipzig goals in rows, Manchester City goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 7 | 1.40 | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Manchester City | 1 | 1.59 | 0.83 | 1.87 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
