Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Atlético de Madrid wins; above it, FC Bayern München wins.
| Atlético de Madrid \ FC Bayern München | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Atlético de Madrid goals in rows, FC Bayern München goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 1.45 | 0.81 | 1.57 |
| FC Bayern München | 1 | 2.25 | 0.87 | 2.18 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
