Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, FC Barcelona wins; above it, Aston Villa wins.
| FC Barcelona \ Aston Villa | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
FC Barcelona goals in rows, Aston Villa goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 1 | 2.16 | 0.79 | 2.44 |
| Aston Villa | 12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.17 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
