Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Gil Vicente wins; above it, Estoril wins.
| Gil Vicente \ Estoril | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | ||||||
| 6 |
Gil Vicente goals in rows, Estoril goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente | 7 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| Estoril | 18 | 1.12 | 1.26 | 1.09 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
