Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Porto wins; above it, Sporting CP wins.
| Porto \ Sporting CP | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Porto goals in rows, Sporting CP goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto | 1 | 1.73 | 0.59 | 1.44 |
| Sporting CP | 3 | 2.10 | 0.69 | 1.24 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
