Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Benfica wins; above it, Famalicão wins.
| Benfica \ Famalicão | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | 1 |
Benfica goals in rows, Famalicão goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2 | 1.96 | 0.67 | 2.25 |
| Famalicão | 10 | 1.08 | 0.96 | 0.72 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
