Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Borussia Dortmund wins; above it, Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins.
| Borussia Dortmund \ Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 |
Borussia Dortmund goals in rows, Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1.43 | 0.86 | 1.94 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 1.48 | 1.05 | 1.27 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
