Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, TSG Hoffenheim wins; above it, FC Augsburg wins.
| TSG Hoffenheim \ FC Augsburg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 6 | 1 |
TSG Hoffenheim goals in rows, FC Augsburg goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim | 9 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 2.11 |
| FC Augsburg | 14 | 1.03 | 1.32 | 1.39 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
