Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, SC Freiburg wins; above it, RB Leipzig wins.
| SC Freiburg \ RB Leipzig | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
SC Freiburg goals in rows, RB Leipzig goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 3 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.54 |
| RB Leipzig | 4 | 1.47 | 1.05 | 1.69 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
