Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, FSV Mainz 05 wins; above it, FC Union Berlin wins.
| FSV Mainz 05 \ FC Union Berlin | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05 goals in rows, FC Union Berlin goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 12 | 1.08 | 1.19 | 1.74 |
| FC Union Berlin | 16 | 0.83 | 1.26 | 0.99 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
