Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, FC Köln wins; above it, Elversberg wins.
| FC Köln \ Elversberg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| 6 |
FC Köln goals in rows, Elversberg goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Köln | 15 | 0.92 | 1.33 | 1.72 |
| Elversberg | 7 | 1.31 | 1.46 | 1.74 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
