

Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Paderborn wins; above it, Schalke 04 wins.
| Paderborn \ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | 1 | ||||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Paderborn goals in rows, Schalke 04 goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 13 | 0.71 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Schalke 04 | 17 | 0.60 | 1.09 | 0.59 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.