Dixon-Coles
Probability of each exact scoreline. The diagonal is draws; below it, Celta de Vigo wins; above it, Villarreal wins.
| Celta de Vigo \ Villarreal | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 | |||||||
| 6 |
Celta de Vigo goals in rows, Villarreal goals in columns. Values are percentages; cells below 0.5% are left blank.
| Team | Rank | Attack | Defence | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo | 11 | 1.04 | 0.98 | 1.40 |
| Villarreal | 8 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.41 |
Attack and defence are multipliers around 1, not goals per game. For defence, lower is better.
